Sacramento Republicvs
Detroit City
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sacramento Republic 0-0 Detroit City, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sacramento Republic 1-0 Detroit City
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 46.2% | 37.7% | -8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.3% | 32.4% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.72 | 24.5% | 30.0% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Projected Score
Sacramento Republic 0–0 Detroit City
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.4%
Model confidence
37.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sacramento RepublicDDDWD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Detroit CityDDWDW
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Sacramento RepublicDetroit City
43.9Attack42.4
69.7Defence72.7
50.0Form56.1
55.5Power58.5
0.76xG0.71