Sacramento Republicvs
Colorado Springs
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/11/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sacramento Republic · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sacramento Republic 1-1 Colorado Springs
Original prediction
Sacramento Republic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 47.3% | 46.1% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.4% | 28.1% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.62 | 25.3% | 25.8% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.33 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Sacramento Republic
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Sacramento Republic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60