Sacramento Republicvs
Charleston Battery
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 3/19/2023, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sacramento Republic are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Charleston Battery are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DWLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Charleston Battery hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.9% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.9%
Model confidence
34.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.75/1.50