GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera C · 9/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Sacachispas 0-0 Victoriano Arenas, with an exact score probability of 40%.

Prediction record

Final result

Sacachispas 0-1 Victoriano Arenas

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8947.2%40.1%-7.1 pts
Draw2.8131.7%39.3%7.7 pts
Away4.2321.1%20.6%-0.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

7.7 pts

Projected Score

Sacachispas 0–0 Victoriano Arenas

Exact score probability: 40%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

40.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SacachispasLDWLD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Victoriano ArenasLDDWL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
SacachispasVictoriano Arenas
38.1Attack25.0
73.8Defence78.6
54.8Form44.0
56.5Power51.5
0.57xG0.35
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