Sacachispasvs
Mercedes
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 4/26/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sacachispas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mercedes are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sacachispas hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60