SacachispasvsEstrella Del Sur

COMPLETED

Argentina · Primera C · 10/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sacachispas · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Sacachispas 0-0 Estrella Del Sur, with an exact score probability of 29%.

Final result

Sacachispas 0-0 Estrella Del Sur

Original prediction

Sacachispas

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	1.86	48.4%	40.8%	-7.6 pts
Draw	2.97	30.3%	34.4%	4.1 pts
Away	4.21	21.4%	24.9%	3.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.97 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.6 pts

Projected Score

Sacachispas 0–0 Estrella Del Sur

Exact score probability: 29%

Predicted outcome

Sacachispas

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

Sacachispas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

SacachispasLLLDW

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5

Estrella Del SurWDDLD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5

SacachispasEstrella Del Sur

35.6Attack34.4

71.1Defence67.8

51.1Form48.9

53.6Power52.2

0.74xG0.55