UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League
Tuesday, 21 July 2026Last updated 12:35
Saburtalo

Saburtalo

Home
DW
02
Full time
Slovan Bratislava

Slovan Bratislava

Away
W
Mikheil Meskhi Stadium
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Saburtalo(40%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Saburtalo
40%
Draw
24%
Slovan Bratislava
36%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Saburtalo
86
Slovan Bratislava
94
Defence
Saburtalo
27
Slovan Bratislava
27
Momentum
Saburtalo
67
Slovan Bratislava
100
Danger (xG)
Saburtalo
2.25
Slovan Bratislava
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Saburtalo)
2.25
avg per match
xG for (Slovan Bratislava)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Saburtalo)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Slovan Bratislava)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
SaburtaloSaburtalo
DWDWL
Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava
WDL

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Saburtalo40%
Draw24%
Slovan Bratislava36%

Saburtalo leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Saburtalo head into this in UEFA Champions League fixture at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium in mixed form (DW), while Slovan Bratislava arrive in mixed form (W). Saburtalo have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Slovan Bratislava over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Saburtalo (86/100) and Slovan Bratislava (94/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Saburtalo have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game at home. Slovan Bratislava have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Saburtalo and Slovan Bratislava in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Saburtalo to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Saburtalo 3958%, Draw 2435%, Slovan Bratislava 3607%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Saburtalo

Saburtalo

D
vs Flora Tallinn
14 Jul 2026
22
W
@ Flora Tallinn
8 Jul 2026
32
D
vs Torpedo Kutaisi
1 Jul 2026
22
W
vs Dinamo Tbilisi
27 Jun 2026
10
L
@ Dinamo Tbilisi
16 May 2026
02
Slovan Bratislava

Slovan Bratislava

W
vs Pafos
16 Jul 2026
32
D
@ FK Crvena Zvezda
29 Jun 2026
11
L
vs Zemplín Michalovce
16 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Saburtalo vs Slovan Bratislava?

GoalVio's model predicts Saburtalo to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Saburtalo vs Slovan Bratislava?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Saburtalo vs Slovan Bratislava?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Saburtalo vs Slovan Bratislava?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more