Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Saburtalo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Saburtalo are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Shukura are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Saburtalo hold a 31.9-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 19.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.4% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Saburtalo holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Saburtalo
Probability
77.4%
Model confidence
77.4%
Saburtalo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.67/1.67
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50