Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Saburtalo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Saburtalo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rustavi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Saburtalo hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Saburtalo holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Saburtalo
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Saburtalo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60