Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Saburtalo · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Saburtalo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Meshakhte are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Saburtalo hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.4% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Saburtalo holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Saburtalo
Probability
70.4%
Model confidence
70.4%
Saburtalo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60