Saburtalovs
Jagiellonia
SCHEDULEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/27/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Saburtalo · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Saburtalo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Jagiellonia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 64.8 against 64.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Saburtalo holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Saburtalo
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
14.1%
Saburtalo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00