UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League
Tuesday, 14 July 2026Last updated 10:12
Saburtalo

Saburtalo

Home
DW
22
Full time
Flora Tallinn

Flora Tallinn

Away
LW
Mikheil Meskhi Stadium
GoalVio prediction
55% confidence
Draw(22%)
Most likely exact score1-1
Prediction correct— Result: Draw
Win probability
Saburtalo
23%
Draw
22%
Flora Tallinn
55%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Saburtalo
86
Flora Tallinn
73
Defence
Saburtalo
27
Flora Tallinn
66
Momentum
Saburtalo
67
Flora Tallinn
50
Danger (xG)
Saburtalo
2.25
Flora Tallinn
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Saburtalo)
2.25
avg per match
xG for (Flora Tallinn)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Saburtalo)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Flora Tallinn)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
SaburtaloSaburtalo
DWDWL
Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn
LDLWW

Probability breakdown

55% confidence
Saburtalo23%
Draw22%
Flora Tallinn55%

Flora Tallinn leads with 55% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Saburtalo head into this in UEFA Champions League fixture at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium in mixed form (DW), while Flora Tallinn arrive in mixed form (LW). Saburtalo have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for Flora Tallinn over 2 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Saburtalo (86/100) and Flora Tallinn (73/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Saburtalo have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game at home. Flora Tallinn have won 2 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Saburtalo have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 2 encounters, with 1 draw, averaging 4.5 goals per game, both teams scored in 2 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 55% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Saburtalo 2318%, Draw 2224%, Flora Tallinn 5459%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Saburtalo 1Draws 10 Flora Tallinn
Avg goals: 4.5BTTS in 2/2
14 Jul 2026
Saburtalo
D22
Flora Tallinn
8 Jul 2026
Saburtalo
W32
Flora Tallinn

Recent form

Saburtalo

Saburtalo

D
vs Flora Tallinn
14 Jul 2026
22
W
@ Flora Tallinn
8 Jul 2026
32
D
vs Torpedo Kutaisi
1 Jul 2026
22
W
vs Dinamo Tbilisi
27 Jun 2026
10
L
@ Dinamo Tbilisi
16 May 2026
02
Flora Tallinn

Flora Tallinn

L
vs Nõmme United
17 Jul 2026
12
D
@ Saburtalo
14 Jul 2026
22
L
vs Saburtalo
8 Jul 2026
23
W
@ Kuressaare
2 Jul 2026
30
W
@ FC Levadia Tallinn
28 Jun 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 55% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more