Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dila · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Saburtalo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Dila are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dila hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Dila holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dila
Probability
35.5%
Model confidence
35.5%
Dila has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00