Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dila · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Saburtalo are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Dila are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dila hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Dila holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dila
Probability
35.5%
Model confidence
35.5%
Dila has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.50
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80