Saburtalo IIvs
Guria
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Liga 3 · 4/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guria · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Saburtalo II are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Guria are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Guria hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (67.3 v 75.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Liga 3, while Guria holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Guria
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Guria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 13 · GA 1 · avg 2.60/0.20