GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 5/21/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Saburtalo II · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Saburtalo II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Gardabani are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Saburtalo II hold a 39.0-point power-rating edge (67.3 v 28.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.4% in the Liga 3, while Saburtalo II holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Saburtalo II

Probability

86.4%

Model confidence

17.4%

Saburtalo II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Saburtalo IIWWDWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
GardabaniDDWLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Saburtalo IIGardabani
52.9Attack27.5
80.4Defence25.5
68.6Form25.5
67.3Power28.2
2.86xG0.37
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