Saburtalo IIvs
Bakhmaro
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Liga 3 · 3/8/2024, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Saburtalo II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Saburtalo II are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 3.50 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Bakhmaro are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Saburtalo II hold a 25.8-point power-rating edge (67.3 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.7% in the Liga 3, while Saburtalo II holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Saburtalo II
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
56.7%
Saburtalo II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 3.50/3.00
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33