Sabah U19vs
Borussia Dortmund U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 10/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Borussia Dortmund U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sabah U19 0-2 Borussia Dortmund U19
Original prediction
Borussia Dortmund U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 72.60 | 1.3% | 21.1% | 19.8 pts |
| Draw | 19.80 | 4.8% | 19.4% | 14.6 pts |
| Away | 1.02 | 93.9% | 59.6% | -34.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-34.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Borussia Dortmund U19
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
Borussia Dortmund U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 17 · avg 0.40/3.40
GF 19 · GA 7 · avg 3.80/1.40