Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sabah FA · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sabah FA 5-0 Zira
Original prediction
Sabah FA
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.6% | 39.8% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.6% | 29.0% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.16 | 21.8% | 31.2% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Sabah FA
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Sabah FA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sabah FAWWLLW
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ZiraWWWDL
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Sabah FAZira
33.3Attack100.0
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
80.3Power88.7
1.20xG1.13