Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Selangor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sabah FA 2-2 Selangor
Original prediction
Selangor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.46 | 20.0% | 32.6% | 12.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.4% | 28.9% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 1.57 | 56.7% | 38.4% | -18.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.81 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Selangor
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Selangor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sabah FAWWLLW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SelangorWWLLW
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Sabah FASelangor
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.08xG0.92