Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sabah FA · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sabah FA 0-0 Qarabag
Original prediction
Sabah FA
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 39.8% | 48.3% | 8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.8% | 24.6% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.4% | 27.1% | -7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.49 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Sabah FA
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Sabah FA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sabah FALWWDW
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
QarabagDWWDW
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sabah FAQarabag
85.7Attack66.7
95.2Defence66.7
90.5Form81.0
88.2Power74.2
1.67xG1.02