Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sabah FA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sabah FA 2-0 Penang
Original prediction
Sabah FA
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 51.3% | 48.5% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.4% | 25.7% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.84 | 23.3% | 25.8% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Sabah FA
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Sabah FA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sabah FAWLLWW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PenangLWDLD
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sabah FAPenang
100.0Attack0.0
66.7Defence66.7
100.0Form0.0
88.7Power23.7
2.10xG1.18