Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Penang · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Penang are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sabah FA are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sabah FA hold a 31.1-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 67.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.7% in the Super League, while Sabah FA holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Penang
Probability
78.5%
Model confidence
9.7%
Penang has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60