Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sabah FA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sabah FA 3-1 Imisli FK
Original prediction
Sabah FA
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.09 | 83.4% | 57.7% | -25.7 pts |
| Draw | 7.52 | 12.1% | 22.8% | 10.7 pts |
| Away | 20.00 | 4.5% | 19.5% | 15.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Sabah FA
Probability
57.7%
Model confidence
57.7%
Sabah FA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sabah FAWLWWW
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Imisli FKLLWLD
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sabah FAImisli FK
66.7Attack33.3
100.0Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
89.7Power15.3
1.88xG0.89