Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sabah FA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sabah FA are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Celje are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Celje hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Sabah FA holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sabah FA
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Sabah FA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20