GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League · 10/20/2026, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sabah FA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Sabah FA 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Original prediction

Sabah FA

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 18:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 3.50+
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home9.5310.1%42.8%32.8 pts
Draw5.9916.0%21.9%5.9 pts
Away1.3073.9%35.2%-38.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

32.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–010%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.1–110%

Predicted outcome

Sabah FA

Probability

42.8%

Model confidence

42.8%

Sabah FA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sabah FAWWDWW

GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Borussia DortmundDLDWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Sabah FABorussia Dortmund
66.7Attack50.0
63.3Defence50.0
70.0Form50.0
66.1Power53.0
2.28xG0.98
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