Sabadellvs
Osasuna II
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/3/2023, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sabadell are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWWL), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Osasuna II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Osasuna II hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.25/1.75
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20