Sabadellvs
FC Andorra
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 10/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sabadell · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sabadell 0-0 FC Andorra
Original prediction
Sabadell
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 47.9% | 46.2% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 29.3% | 28.1% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.09 | 22.7% | 25.6% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Sabadell
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Sabadell has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00