Saarbrücken U19vs
Elversberg U19
COMPLETEDGermany · U19 Bundesliga · 10/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elversberg U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Saarbrücken U19 0-2 Elversberg U19
Original prediction
Elversberg U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.43 | 14.0% | 28.5% | 14.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.82 | 15.5% | 21.7% | 6.2 pts |
| Away | 1.28 | 70.5% | 49.8% | -20.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Elversberg U19
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Elversberg U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 28 · avg 0.80/5.60
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40