GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 5/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tukums II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Rēzekne FA are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Tukums II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tukums II hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (18.5 v 26.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the 1. Liga, while Tukums II holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tukums II

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

9.0%

Tukums II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rēzekne FALDLLL

GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Tukums IILLWLD

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Rēzekne FATukums II
27.1Attack43.8
4.2Defence6.3
10.4Form25.0
18.5Power26.9
1.60xG2.19
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