1. Liga1. Liga
Saturday, 27 June 2026Last updated 14:59
Rēzekne FA

Rēzekne FA

Home
L
24
Full time
JDFS Alberts

JDFS Alberts

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
68% confidence
JDFS Alberts(68%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction correct— Result: JDFS Alberts
Win probability
Rēzekne FA
15%
Draw
17%
JDFS Alberts
68%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Rēzekne FA
73
JDFS Alberts
99
Defence
Rēzekne FA
1
JDFS Alberts
27
Momentum
Rēzekne FA
0
JDFS Alberts
100
Danger (xG)
Rēzekne FA
1.80
JDFS Alberts
3.60
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.51 xG for Rēzekne FA and 2.65 xG for JDFS Alberts — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Rēzekne FA holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Rēzekne FA's Attack Score (73) exceeds JDFS Alberts's Defensive Stability (27), and JDFS Alberts's attack (99) similarly tests Rēzekne FA's defence (1). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 4.16 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. Rēzekne FA's Attack Score (73) vs JDFS Alberts's Defensive Stability (27) and JDFS Alberts's attack (99) vs Rēzekne FA's defence (1) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.

xG for (Rēzekne FA)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (JDFS Alberts)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Rēzekne FA)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (JDFS Alberts)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Rēzekne FARēzekne FA
LD
JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts
WL

Probability breakdown

68% confidence
Rēzekne FA15%
Draw17%
JDFS Alberts68%

JDFS Alberts leads with 68% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

JDFS Alberts Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-2

Rēzekne FA host JDFS Alberts in 1. Liga. Rēzekne FA have recorded LLLDLL in recent matches while JDFS Alberts arrive with a run of DLWLWD. These sides have met 10 times recently, averaging 4.6 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 2.65 expected goals for JDFS Alberts against 1.51 for Rēzekne FA — a significant advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🔒 Defensive Stability JDFS Alberts have kept 2 clean sheet(s) in 10 recent matches — a defensive record that gives them a meaningful edge in this fixture. Defensive solidity is one of the strongest predictors of match outcomes at this level.
: 📈 Recent Form JDFS Alberts arrive in better recent form — 2 wins from 10 matches (DLWLWD) against Rēzekne FA's 0. Form over the last 5–6 games is one of the most predictive short-term signals in the model, capturing momentum that longer-term averages can miss.

Why GoalVio backs this

JDFS Alberts are generating a commanding xG advantage — 2.65 projected against 1.51 for Rēzekne FA. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 1.14 is the clearest signal in the model that JDFS Alberts are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: The model's projection is based on averages — individual moments of quality, tactical adjustments, or set-piece situations can always override statistical trends. JDFS Alberts are favoured, but football rarely follows the script exactly.

Risk factors

  • JDFS Alberts have been conceding 1.51 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • These sides have drawn 2 of their last 10 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.

Head to head

Rēzekne FA 0Draws 01 JDFS Alberts
Avg goals: 6.0BTTS in 1/1
27 Jun 2026
Rēzekne FA
L24
JDFS Alberts

Recent form

Rēzekne FA

Rēzekne FA

L
vs JDFS Alberts
27 Jun 2026
24
D
vs Tukums II
16 May 2026
00
JDFS Alberts

JDFS Alberts

W
@ Rēzekne FA
27 Jun 2026
42
L
@ Metta / LU
16 May 2026
14

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Rēzekne FA vs JDFS Alberts?

GoalVio's model predicts JDFS Alberts to win with 68% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Rēzekne FA vs JDFS Alberts?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Rēzekne FA vs JDFS Alberts?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Rēzekne FA vs JDFS Alberts?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more