GGOALVIO

England · FA Cup · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rylands · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Rylands 3-1 Hyde United

Original prediction

Rylands

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0344.5%39.4%-5.1 pts
Draw3.7624.0%28.2%4.2 pts
Away2.8731.4%32.4%1.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

Rylands

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Rylands has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RylandsWWLLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Hyde UnitedWDLLW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RylandsHyde United
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.30xG1.10
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