Rylandsvs
Guiseley AFC
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Trophy · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rylands · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rylands 1-3 Guiseley AFC
Original prediction
Rylands
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.85 | 31.4% | 39.4% | 7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.4% | 26.2% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 42.1% | 34.4% | -7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Rylands
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Rylands has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RylandsWLDWW
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Guiseley AFCWWWWW
GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
RylandsGuiseley AFC
100.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence33.3
100.0Form100.0
88.7Power80.3
1.98xG1.52