Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rylands · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (14%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rylands 4-1 AFC Emley
Original prediction
Rylands
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 58.7% | 56.2% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.05 | 22.2% | 24.3% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 4.68 | 19.2% | 19.5% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.2–014%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Rylands
Probability
56.2%
Model confidence
56.2%
Rylands has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RylandsWWLDW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AFC EmleyLLLLW
GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
RylandsAFC Emley
43.3Attack30.0
56.7Defence40.0
53.3Form33.3
52.1Power37.3
1.76xG0.69