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Saturday, 1 August 202616:00Updated today
Rychnov n. Kneznou

Rychnov n. Kneznou

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Chlumec nad Cidlinou

Chlumec nad Cidlinou

Away
D
Stadium Rychnov
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Rychnov n. Kneznou(40%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Rychnov n. Kneznou
40%
Draw
24%
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.42 xG for Rychnov n. Kneznou and 1.28 xG for Chlumec nad Cidlinou. Chlumec nad Cidlinou's projected xG of 1.28 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 1-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.70 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.

xG for (Chlumec nad Cidlinou)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Chlumec nad Cidlinou)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Chlumec nad CidlinouChlumec nad Cidlinou
D

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Rychnov n. Kneznou40%
Draw24%
Chlumec nad Cidlinou35%

Rychnov n. Kneznou leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Rychnov n. Kneznou Narrow Edge — Model Projects 1-0

Rychnov n. Kneznou take on Chlumec nad Cidlinou in Cup.

Key factors

: ⚠️ Upset Risk Chlumec nad Cidlinou have won 0 of their last 5 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While Rychnov n. Kneznou carry the stronger underlying metrics, Chlumec nad Cidlinou's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

Rychnov n. Kneznou hold a slim but consistent edge across the key input metrics. No single factor clears the threshold required to claim a material advantage, but chance quality, defensive organisation, and recent form all point in the same direction — and when multiple independent signals align, that convergence is the model's case for Rychnov n. Kneznou.

Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Rychnov n. Kneznou, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Chlumec nad Cidlinou score first, the game becomes genuinely open.

Risk factors

  • The xG gap is narrow at 0.14 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Chlumec nad Cidlinou

Chlumec nad Cidlinou

D
vs Čáslav
17 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Rychnov n. Kneznou vs Chlumec nad Cidlinou?

GoalVio's model predicts Rychnov n. Kneznou to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Rychnov n. Kneznou vs Chlumec nad Cidlinou?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Rychnov n. Kneznou vs Chlumec nad Cidlinou?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Rychnov n. Kneznou vs Chlumec nad Cidlinou?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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