Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ryazan W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Ryazan W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Yenisey W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ryazan W hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (29.7 v 17.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Supreme Division Women, while Ryazan W holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ryazan W
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
14.2%
Ryazan W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00