Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ryazan W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Ryazan W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Rostov are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ryazan W hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (29.7 v 21.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Supreme Division Women, while Ryazan W holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ryazan W
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
14.3%
Ryazan W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80