Ryazanvs
Spartak Kostroma
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 9/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ryazan · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ryazan 0-2 Spartak Kostroma
Original prediction
Ryazan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.08 | 18.0% | 36.4% | 18.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.1% | 27.7% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 1.61 | 56.9% | 35.9% | -20.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Ryazan
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Ryazan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RyazanWWDWW
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Spartak KostromaWWLDW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RyazanSpartak Kostroma
50.0Attack0.0
83.3Defence100.0
66.7Form33.3
68.0Power45.3
1.49xG0.99