Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ryazan · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ryazan 2-0 Rotor-2, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ryazan 2-0 Rotor-2
Original prediction
Ryazan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.24 | 73.1% | 78.3% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.20 | 21.6% | 16.8% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 17.17 | 5.3% | 4.9% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Projected Score
Ryazan 2–0 Rotor-2
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Ryazan
Probability
78.3%
Model confidence
78.3%
Ryazan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RyazanLWWDW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Rotor-2LWLDL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RyazanRotor-2
55.6Attack22.7
79.4Defence47.0
63.5Form21.2
65.8Power33.0
2.10xG0.35