GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 4/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ryazan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Ryazan are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Metallurg Lipetsk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Metallurg Lipetsk hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (60.3 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Second League - Group 3, while Ryazan holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ryazan

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

14.8%

Ryazan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RyazanWDWDD

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Metallurg LipetskWWDLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RyazanMetallurg Lipetsk
51.0Attack66.7
76.5Defence64.8
54.9Form64.8
60.3Power65.9
1.14xG1.00
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