Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ryazan · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Ryazan are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LWD), averaging 2.33 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Kolomna are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ryazan hold a 36.3-point power-rating edge (62.3 v 25.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.8% in the Second League - Group 3, while Ryazan holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ryazan
Probability
85.8%
Model confidence
85.8%
Ryazan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 2.33/1.67
GF 5 · GA 18 · avg 1.00/3.60