Ryazanvs
Avangard Kursk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 10/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ryazan · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ryazan 1-0 Avangard Kursk, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ryazan 4-0 Avangard Kursk
Original prediction
Ryazan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 59.1% | 63.4% | 4.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.22 | 22.6% | 22.1% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 5.20 | 18.3% | 14.5% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Projected Score
Ryazan 1–0 Avangard Kursk
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Ryazan
Probability
63.4%
Model confidence
63.4%
Ryazan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RyazanWWDWL
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Avangard KurskDDLWL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
RyazanAvangard Kursk
57.3Attack41.3
80.0Defence54.7
66.7Form42.7
67.8Power47.9
1.78xG0.57