Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
RWDM · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
RWDM 2-1 Tubize
Original prediction
RWDM
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.5% | 45.8% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.0% | 27.2% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.18 | 28.5% | 27.0% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
RWDM
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
RWDM has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RWDMLDWWW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TubizeWDWDL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
RWDMTubize
52.4Attack50.0
71.4Defence55.6
76.2Form61.1
68.7Power57.7
1.63xG0.94