Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
RWDM · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
RWDM 1-1 Rochefort
Original prediction
RWDM
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 43.3% | 41.1% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.7% | 26.7% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.91 | 31.1% | 32.3% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.52 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
RWDM
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
RWDM has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RWDMWWWWW
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
RochefortWDLWW
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
RWDMRochefort
53.3Attack80.0
93.3Defence60.0
100.0Form66.7
85.1Power68.7
1.62xG1.34