Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Genk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
RWDM are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Genk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Genk hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (33.4 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.4% in the Jupiler Pro League, while Genk holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Genk
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
56.4%
Genk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00