Ruthin Townvs
Rhyl
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 10/9/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rhyl · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ruthin Town 1-1 Rhyl
Original prediction
Rhyl
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.00 | 29.9% | 25.0% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.6% | 22.7% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 1.98 | 45.5% | 52.3% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.66 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Rhyl
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Rhyl has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ruthin TownDWLLL
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
RhylLLDDW
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Ruthin TownRhyl
30.0Attack56.7
33.3Defence36.7
26.7Form33.3
32.9Power44.0
1.22xG2.19