Ruthin Townvs
Mold Alexandra
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 8/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mold Alexandra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ruthin Town 0-4 Mold Alexandra
Original prediction
Mold Alexandra
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 33.8% | 35.4% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.9% | 25.2% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.24 | 40.3% | 39.4% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Mold Alexandra
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Mold Alexandra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20