GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 7/28/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ruthin Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ruthin Town are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 0.67 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Mold Alexandra are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 4.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mold Alexandra hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the FAW Championship, while Ruthin Town holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ruthin Town

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Ruthin Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ruthin TownLLD

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.67/3.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Mold AlexandraW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 4.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Ruthin TownMold Alexandra
33.3Attack66.7
33.3Defence16.7
0.0Form16.7
26.7Power36.5
1.86xG1.81
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