RUS Binchevs
Stade Mouscronnois
COMPLETEDBelgium · Second Amateur Division - ACFF · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
RUS Binche · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
RUS Binche 4-4 Stade Mouscronnois
Original prediction
RUS Binche
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.5% | 41.7% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.3% | 25.9% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 37.2% | 32.4% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.70 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
RUS Binche
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
RUS Binche has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.67/1.00