RUS Binchevs
Ganshoren
COMPLETEDBelgium · Second Amateur Division - ACFF · 10/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ganshoren · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (7%), 1-3 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
RUS Binche 2-1 Ganshoren
Original prediction
Ganshoren
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.83 | 23.8% | 26.6% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.09 | 22.3% | 20.6% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 1.69 | 54.0% | 52.8% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–27%
- 2.1–37%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Ganshoren
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Ganshoren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60