Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Ružomberok

Ružomberok

Home
LL
03
Full time
Teplice

Teplice

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Teplice33%
Ružomberok33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction correct— Result: Teplice
Win probability
Ružomberok
33%
Draw
33%
Teplice
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Ružomberok
9
Teplice
94
Defence
Ružomberok
14
Teplice
91
Momentum
Ružomberok
0
Teplice
100
Danger (xG)
Ružomberok
0.00
Teplice
2.70
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.21 xG for Ružomberok and 1.48 xG for Teplice — meaningful and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.27), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.69 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Ružomberok's Defensive Stability (14) and Teplice's (91) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Ružomberok)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Teplice)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Ružomberok)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (Teplice)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
RužomberokRužomberok
LLLL
TepliceTeplice
WWW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Ružomberok33%
Draw33%
Teplice33%

Teplice leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Teplice Backed to Win — Model Projects 0-1

Ružomberok take on Teplice in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

Ružomberok 0Draws 01 Teplice
Avg goals: 3.0
18 Jul 2026
Ružomberok
L03
Teplice

Recent form

Ružomberok

Ružomberok

L
vs Teplice
18 Jul 2026
03
L
@ Fortuna Düsseldorf
15 Jul 2026
02
L
@ Sigma Olomouc
27 Jun 2026
01
L
@ Skalica
16 May 2026
01
Teplice

Teplice

W
@ Ružomberok
18 Jul 2026
30
W
vs Dukla Praha
16 May 2026
20
W
@ Zlin
12 May 2026
42

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Ružomberok vs Teplice?

GoalVio's model predicts Teplice to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Ružomberok vs Teplice?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Ružomberok vs Teplice?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ružomberok vs Teplice?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more